North Lincolnshire vs South Kesteven

South Kesteven records less crime for its size than North Lincolnshire: 73.9 offences per 1,000 residents in the 12 months to July 2026, against 95.3. That is about 29% more. Both figures are averages across a whole local authority, and neither area is uniform: the gap between neighbourhoods inside one of these places is usually wider than the gap between the two of them.

North Lincolnshire 95.3 crimes per 1,000 residents, Lincolnshire
South Kesteven 73.9 crimes per 1,000 residents, Lincolnshire

The England and Wales average is 91.2 recorded crimes per 1,000 residents. North Lincolnshire is close to it. South Kesteven is about 19% below it.

Side by side

Recorded crime in North Lincolnshire and South Kesteven
  North Lincolnshire South Kesteven
Crimes per 1,000 residents 95.3 73.9
Offences in the year to July 2026 16,325 10,867
Residents 171,336 147,151
Change on the previous 12 months +3.5% +6.6%
Rank in England and Wales 115 of 306 205 of 306

Rank 1 is the highest recorded rate. Both areas are local authority areas, so the two populations are counted the same way and the rates are directly comparable.

Offence by offence

The mix differs more than the totals do. North Lincolnshire records about 2.6 times as much drugs, 2.0 times as much robbery and 1.9 times as much burglary per resident. South Kesteven records about 2.0 times as much anti-social behaviour per resident.

Rate per 1,000 residents by offence
Offence, per 1,000 residents North Lincolnshire South Kesteven
Violence and sexual offences 37.2 25.9
Anti-social behaviour 8.4 16.7
Shoplifting 9.8 6.5
Criminal damage and arson 8.4 5.6
Public order 8.3 4.7
Other theft 6.1 3.9
Burglary 4.7 2.4
Vehicle crime 3.3 3.3
Other crime 3.2 2.2
Drugs 2.9 1.1
Robbery 1.2 0.6
Possession of weapons 0.9 0.5
Bicycle theft 0.9 0.4
Theft from the person 0.2 0.1
All recorded crime 95.3 73.9

Both places since 2011

Each line is a rolling twelve-month rate per 1,000 residents, so seasonality is taken out and the two areas are on the same scale despite their different sizes.

North Lincolnshire South Kesteven
3060901200Covid lockdown95 North74 South2012201420162018202020222024Jul 2026
A line breaks wherever the twelve months behind it include a return the force never filed, because a twelve-month total missing three of its months is not a total.

Questions

Is North Lincolnshire safer than South Kesteven?

South Kesteven records less crime for its size than North Lincolnshire: 73.9 offences per 1,000 residents in the 12 months to July 2026, against 95.3. That is about 29% more. Both figures are averages across a whole local authority, and neither area is uniform: the gap between neighbourhoods inside one of these places is usually wider than the gap between the two of them.

What does this comparison not tell you?

Recorded crime counts what the police wrote down, so a place where people report more looks worse than a place where they report less, whatever actually happened. Both figures are averages across a whole local authority: a town with one busy centre and quiet suburbs carries a rate that describes neither. And the denominator is residents, so somewhere that fills up with commuters, students or shoppers by day records crime against a population it is not credited with. How the figures work sets all of this out.

Where else can I compare?

Pick any other two areas, or start from North Lincolnshire or South Kesteven and use the neighbouring areas listed on each. The ranked lists of the safest places and the highest crime rates cover all of them at once.

Figures cover the 12 months to July 2026. Police data is published roughly two months in arrears.