North Kesteven vs North Lincolnshire

North Kesteven records less crime for its size than North Lincolnshire: 54.4 offences per 1,000 residents in the 12 months to July 2026, against 95.3. That is about 75% more. Both figures are averages across a whole local authority, and neither area is uniform: the gap between neighbourhoods inside one of these places is usually wider than the gap between the two of them.

North Kesteven 54.4 crimes per 1,000 residents, Lincolnshire
North Lincolnshire 95.3 crimes per 1,000 residents, Lincolnshire

The England and Wales average is 91.2 recorded crimes per 1,000 residents. North Kesteven is about 40% below it. North Lincolnshire is close to it.

Side by side

Recorded crime in North Kesteven and North Lincolnshire
  North Kesteven North Lincolnshire
Crimes per 1,000 residents 54.4 95.3
Offences in the year to July 2026 6,666 16,325
Residents 122,468 171,336
Change on the previous 12 months +5.7% +3.5%
Rank in England and Wales 283 of 306 115 of 306

Rank 1 is the highest recorded rate. Both areas are local authority areas, so the two populations are counted the same way and the rates are directly comparable.

Offence by offence

The mix differs more than the totals do. North Kesteven records about 1.5 times as much anti-social behaviour per resident. North Lincolnshire records about 3.4 times as much drugs, 3.3 times as much shoplifting and 2.6 times as much public order per resident.

Rate per 1,000 residents by offence
Offence, per 1,000 residents North Kesteven North Lincolnshire
Violence and sexual offences 21.2 37.2
Anti-social behaviour 12.8 8.4
Shoplifting 3.0 9.8
Criminal damage and arson 3.8 8.4
Public order 3.2 8.3
Other theft 3.3 6.1
Burglary 2.0 4.7
Vehicle crime 1.8 3.3
Other crime 1.6 3.2
Drugs 0.9 2.9
Robbery 0.2 1.2
Bicycle theft 0.3 0.9
Possession of weapons 0.3 0.9
Theft from the person 0.1 0.2
All recorded crime 54.4 95.3

Both places since 2011

Each line is a rolling twelve-month rate per 1,000 residents, so seasonality is taken out and the two areas are on the same scale despite their different sizes.

North Kesteven North Lincolnshire
3060901200Covid lockdown54 North95 North2012201420162018202020222024Jul 2026
A line breaks wherever the twelve months behind it include a return the force never filed, because a twelve-month total missing three of its months is not a total.

Questions

Is North Kesteven safer than North Lincolnshire?

North Kesteven records less crime for its size than North Lincolnshire: 54.4 offences per 1,000 residents in the 12 months to July 2026, against 95.3. That is about 75% more. Both figures are averages across a whole local authority, and neither area is uniform: the gap between neighbourhoods inside one of these places is usually wider than the gap between the two of them.

What does this comparison not tell you?

Recorded crime counts what the police wrote down, so a place where people report more looks worse than a place where they report less, whatever actually happened. Both figures are averages across a whole local authority: a town with one busy centre and quiet suburbs carries a rate that describes neither. And the denominator is residents, so somewhere that fills up with commuters, students or shoppers by day records crime against a population it is not credited with. How the figures work sets all of this out.

Where else can I compare?

Pick any other two areas, or start from North Kesteven or North Lincolnshire and use the neighbouring areas listed on each. The ranked lists of the safest places and the highest crime rates cover all of them at once.

Figures cover the 12 months to July 2026. Police data is published roughly two months in arrears.