New Forest vs Test Valley

New Forest records less crime for its size than Test Valley: 58.2 offences per 1,000 residents in the 12 months to June 2026, against 60.3. That is about 4% more. Both figures are averages across a whole local authority, and neither area is uniform: the gap between neighbourhoods inside one of these places is usually wider than the gap between the two of them.

New Forest 58.2 crimes per 1,000 residents, Hampshire
Test Valley 60.3 crimes per 1,000 residents, Hampshire

The England and Wales average is 91.2 recorded crimes per 1,000 residents. New Forest is about 36% below it. Test Valley is about 34% below it.

Side by side

Recorded crime in New Forest and Test Valley
  New Forest Test Valley
Crimes per 1,000 residents 58.2 60.3
Offences in the year to June 2026 10,252 8,154
Residents 176,116 135,201
Change on the previous 12 months -8.8% -2.8%
Rank in England and Wales 276 of 314 267 of 314

Rank 1 is the highest recorded rate. Both areas are local authority areas, so the two populations are counted the same way and the rates are directly comparable.

Offence by offence

The mix differs more than the totals do. New Forest records about 1.4 times as much criminal damage and arson per resident. Test Valley records about 1.6 times as much drugs per resident.

Rate per 1,000 residents by offence
Offence, per 1,000 residents New Forest Test Valley
Violence and sexual offences 25.4 26.6
Anti-social behaviour 6.1 7.5
Criminal damage and arson 5.2 3.8
Public order 4.6 4.4
Other theft 3.8 4.0
Shoplifting 3.5 4.0
Burglary 3.2 2.9
Vehicle crime 2.6 2.6
Drugs 1.0 1.6
Other crime 1.2 1.2
Possession of weapons 0.8 0.9
Bicycle theft 0.5 0.3
Robbery 0.4 0.4
Theft from the person 0.2 0.2
All recorded crime 58.2 60.3

Both places since 2011

Each line is a rolling twelve-month rate per 1,000 residents, so seasonality is taken out and the two areas are on the same scale despite their different sizes.

New Forest Test Valley
2550751000Covid lockdown58 New Forest60 Test Valley20122014201620182020202220242026
A line breaks wherever the twelve months behind it include a return the force never filed, because a twelve-month total missing three of its months is not a total.

Questions

Is New Forest safer than Test Valley?

New Forest records less crime for its size than Test Valley: 58.2 offences per 1,000 residents in the 12 months to June 2026, against 60.3. That is about 4% more. Both figures are averages across a whole local authority, and neither area is uniform: the gap between neighbourhoods inside one of these places is usually wider than the gap between the two of them.

What does this comparison not tell you?

Recorded crime counts what the police wrote down, so a place where people report more looks worse than a place where they report less, whatever actually happened. Both figures are averages across a whole local authority: a town with one busy centre and quiet suburbs carries a rate that describes neither. And the denominator is residents, so somewhere that fills up with commuters, students or shoppers by day records crime against a population it is not credited with. How the figures work sets all of this out.

Where else can I compare?

Pick any other two areas, or start from New Forest or Test Valley and use the neighbouring areas listed on each. The ranked lists of the safest places and the highest crime rates cover all of them at once.

Figures cover the 12 months to June 2026. Police data is published roughly two months in arrears.