Lincoln vs North Kesteven

North Kesteven records less crime for its size than Lincoln: 53.9 offences per 1,000 residents in the 12 months to June 2026, against 155.0. That is 2.9 times the rate. Both figures are averages across a whole local authority, and neither area is uniform: the gap between neighbourhoods inside one of these places is usually wider than the gap between the two of them.

Lincoln 155.0 crimes per 1,000 residents, Lincolnshire
North Kesteven 53.9 crimes per 1,000 residents, Lincolnshire

The England and Wales average is 91.2 recorded crimes per 1,000 residents. Lincoln is about 70% above it. North Kesteven is about 41% below it.

Side by side

Recorded crime in Lincoln and North Kesteven
  Lincoln North Kesteven
Crimes per 1,000 residents 155.0 53.9
Offences in the year to June 2026 16,290 6,598
Residents 105,114 122,468
Change on the previous 12 months -2.5% +5.6%
Rank in England and Wales 9 of 314 288 of 314

Rank 1 is the highest recorded rate. Both areas are local authority areas, so the two populations are counted the same way and the rates are directly comparable.

Offence by offence

The mix differs more than the totals do. Lincoln records about 7.3 times as much shoplifting, 3.8 times as much public order and 3.0 times as much drugs per resident.

Rate per 1,000 residents by offence
Offence, per 1,000 residents Lincoln North Kesteven
Violence and sexual offences 50.9 21.1
Anti-social behaviour 36.1 13.0
Shoplifting 21.9 3.0
Public order 11.3 3.0
Criminal damage and arson 10.3 3.6
Other theft 6.5 3.2
Burglary 3.4 2.1
Vehicle crime 3.5 1.7
Other crime 2.9 1.5
Drugs 2.7 0.9
Bicycle theft 2.1 0.3
Robbery 2.0 0.2
Possession of weapons 1.2 0.3
Theft from the person 0.4 0.1
All recorded crime 155.0 53.9

Both places since 2011

Each line is a rolling twelve-month rate per 1,000 residents, so seasonality is taken out and the two areas are on the same scale despite their different sizes.

Lincoln North Kesteven
501001502000Covid lockdown155 Lincoln54 North20122014201620182020202220242026
A line breaks wherever the twelve months behind it include a return the force never filed, because a twelve-month total missing three of its months is not a total.

Questions

Is Lincoln safer than North Kesteven?

North Kesteven records less crime for its size than Lincoln: 53.9 offences per 1,000 residents in the 12 months to June 2026, against 155.0. That is 2.9 times the rate. Both figures are averages across a whole local authority, and neither area is uniform: the gap between neighbourhoods inside one of these places is usually wider than the gap between the two of them.

What does this comparison not tell you?

Recorded crime counts what the police wrote down, so a place where people report more looks worse than a place where they report less, whatever actually happened. Both figures are averages across a whole local authority: a town with one busy centre and quiet suburbs carries a rate that describes neither. And the denominator is residents, so somewhere that fills up with commuters, students or shoppers by day records crime against a population it is not credited with. How the figures work sets all of this out.

Where else can I compare?

Pick any other two areas, or start from Lincoln or North Kesteven and use the neighbouring areas listed on each. The ranked lists of the safest places and the highest crime rates cover all of them at once.

Figures cover the 12 months to June 2026. Police data is published roughly two months in arrears.