Hertsmere vs Three Rivers

Three Rivers records less crime for its size than Hertsmere: 66.9 offences per 1,000 residents in the 12 months to June 2026, against 88.9. That is about 33% more. Both figures are averages across a whole local authority, and neither area is uniform: the gap between neighbourhoods inside one of these places is usually wider than the gap between the two of them.

Hertsmere 88.9 crimes per 1,000 residents, Hertfordshire
Three Rivers 66.9 crimes per 1,000 residents, Hertfordshire

The England and Wales average is 91.2 recorded crimes per 1,000 residents. Hertsmere is close to it. Three Rivers is about 27% below it.

Side by side

Recorded crime in Hertsmere and Three Rivers
  Hertsmere Three Rivers
Crimes per 1,000 residents 88.9 66.9
Offences in the year to June 2026 9,796 6,405
Residents 110,212 95,807
Change on the previous 12 months -7.9% -0.2%
Rank in England and Wales 137 of 314 236 of 314

Rank 1 is the highest recorded rate. Both areas are local authority areas, so the two populations are counted the same way and the rates are directly comparable.

Offence by offence

The mix differs more than the totals do. Hertsmere records about 2.2 times as much other theft, 1.7 times as much drugs and 1.5 times as much burglary per resident.

Rate per 1,000 residents by offence
Offence, per 1,000 residents Hertsmere Three Rivers
Violence and sexual offences 28.9 24.3
Anti-social behaviour 17.2 12.5
Other theft 9.6 4.3
Shoplifting 5.3 6.9
Criminal damage and arson 5.5 4.0
Vehicle crime 5.3 3.8
Public order 4.7 3.6
Burglary 4.1 2.7
Drugs 4.2 2.4
Other crime 1.5 1.1
Robbery 0.9 0.4
Possession of weapons 0.7 0.5
Theft from the person 0.7 0.3
Bicycle theft 0.3 0.2
All recorded crime 88.9 66.9

Both places since 2011

Each line is a rolling twelve-month rate per 1,000 residents, so seasonality is taken out and the two areas are on the same scale despite their different sizes.

Hertsmere Three Rivers
2550751000Covid lockdown89 Hertsmere67 Three20122014201620182020202220242026
A line breaks wherever the twelve months behind it include a return the force never filed, because a twelve-month total missing three of its months is not a total.

Questions

Is Hertsmere safer than Three Rivers?

Three Rivers records less crime for its size than Hertsmere: 66.9 offences per 1,000 residents in the 12 months to June 2026, against 88.9. That is about 33% more. Both figures are averages across a whole local authority, and neither area is uniform: the gap between neighbourhoods inside one of these places is usually wider than the gap between the two of them.

What does this comparison not tell you?

Recorded crime counts what the police wrote down, so a place where people report more looks worse than a place where they report less, whatever actually happened. Both figures are averages across a whole local authority: a town with one busy centre and quiet suburbs carries a rate that describes neither. And the denominator is residents, so somewhere that fills up with commuters, students or shoppers by day records crime against a population it is not credited with. How the figures work sets all of this out.

Where else can I compare?

Pick any other two areas, or start from Hertsmere or Three Rivers and use the neighbouring areas listed on each. The ranked lists of the safest places and the highest crime rates cover all of them at once.

Figures cover the 12 months to June 2026. Police data is published roughly two months in arrears.