Epping Forest vs Thurrock

Epping Forest records less crime for its size than Thurrock: 75.6 offences per 1,000 residents in the 12 months to June 2026, against 99.4. That is about 32% more. Both figures are averages across a whole local authority, and neither area is uniform: the gap between neighbourhoods inside one of these places is usually wider than the gap between the two of them.

Epping Forest 75.6 crimes per 1,000 residents, Essex
Thurrock 99.4 crimes per 1,000 residents, Essex

The England and Wales average is 91.2 recorded crimes per 1,000 residents. Epping Forest is about 17% below it. Thurrock is about 9% above it.

Side by side

Recorded crime in Epping Forest and Thurrock
  Epping Forest Thurrock
Crimes per 1,000 residents 75.6 99.4
Offences in the year to June 2026 10,385 17,988
Residents 137,451 180,989
Change on the previous 12 months +1.0% +3.0%
Rank in England and Wales 204 of 314 102 of 314

Rank 1 is the highest recorded rate. Both areas are local authority areas, so the two populations are counted the same way and the rates are directly comparable.

Offence by offence

The mix differs more than the totals do. Thurrock records about 2.1 times as much shoplifting, 1.8 times as much possession of weapons and 1.5 times as much anti-social behaviour per resident.

Rate per 1,000 residents by offence
Offence, per 1,000 residents Epping Forest Thurrock
Violence and sexual offences 28.4 34.0
Anti-social behaviour 7.2 11.1
Vehicle crime 7.9 9.2
Shoplifting 5.1 10.6
Criminal damage and arson 6.2 8.9
Public order 5.4 6.2
Other theft 4.9 6.4
Drugs 3.7 4.6
Burglary 3.3 3.0
Other crime 1.5 1.9
Robbery 0.8 1.0
Possession of weapons 0.6 1.1
Theft from the person 0.5 0.6
Bicycle theft 0.2 0.7
All recorded crime 75.6 99.4

Both places since 2011

Each line is a rolling twelve-month rate per 1,000 residents, so seasonality is taken out and the two areas are on the same scale despite their different sizes.

Epping Forest Thurrock
40801201600Covid lockdown76 Epping99 Thurrock20122014201620182020202220242026
A line breaks wherever the twelve months behind it include a return the force never filed, because a twelve-month total missing three of its months is not a total.

Questions

Is Epping Forest safer than Thurrock?

Epping Forest records less crime for its size than Thurrock: 75.6 offences per 1,000 residents in the 12 months to June 2026, against 99.4. That is about 32% more. Both figures are averages across a whole local authority, and neither area is uniform: the gap between neighbourhoods inside one of these places is usually wider than the gap between the two of them.

What does this comparison not tell you?

Recorded crime counts what the police wrote down, so a place where people report more looks worse than a place where they report less, whatever actually happened. Both figures are averages across a whole local authority: a town with one busy centre and quiet suburbs carries a rate that describes neither. And the denominator is residents, so somewhere that fills up with commuters, students or shoppers by day records crime against a population it is not credited with. How the figures work sets all of this out.

Where else can I compare?

Pick any other two areas, or start from Epping Forest or Thurrock and use the neighbouring areas listed on each. The ranked lists of the safest places and the highest crime rates cover all of them at once.

Figures cover the 12 months to June 2026. Police data is published roughly two months in arrears.